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Pronósticos: México & Brasil

Two value bets across the pond tonight; Gremio from Brasilian Serie B and Chivas Guadalajara from Liga MX.


Crucial match for both teams, especially Guarani cannot settle for a draw. Guarani is the worst home team in Brasilian Serie B, having won only two out of 11 matches (2-6-3) and having scored only 4 goals at home! On the other hand, Gremio has conceded just 4 goals away of Porto Alegre (on 11 matches) but they have only scored four as well (1-9-1, 4-4).

It seems pretty sure that Gremio would manage another ‘clean sheet’ tonight and the only question mark is if they would be able to grab a winner. Taking under consideration the urgent Guarani’s need for points, we will go with the scenario of Gremio finding the space and creating several counter-attack chances. In any case, there is a huge quality gap between the two rosters and Gremio has a golden opportunity to take all points.


Both teams not at their best, but Chivas performances deserving more points than the table suggests. The Mazatlecos (since their change of venue) they are far but convincing at home and they stay bottom of the table with only three draws (0-3-3).

On the other side, the ‘rojiblancos’, have only scored three goals and haven’t won either (0-5-1) and the pressure to win tonight is huge. But the key point is that Chivas produces enough chances in every match and it is a matter of time to get back on winning days while Mazatlan performances are constantly below par.