Andrey Rublev faced great difficulties in both his matches in this ATP Bastad campaign. He almost lost to last year’s runner-up Federico Coria in the second round and was heavily testes in the quarterfinal by Laslo Djere, who created more breakpoint chances in the match. Moreover, he remains steadily ill-tempered, while his extreme reactions and body language indicate that he should visit a psychiatrist the sooner…
On the other hand, Sebastian Baez is obviously enjoying his tournament, producing spectacular displays against quality opponents, proved too consistent over 3 sets against rejuvenated Thiem yesterday, and beating easily Davidovich Fokina and Fabio Fognini earlier this week.
The 21-year-old Argentinian delivered excellent results over the last seven months, showcasing his ability across all surfaces, but the best results keep coming on his favorite clay, having won an impressive 25 matches on the dirt so far in 2022.
Solid rock Sebastian Baez is going to give erratic Rublev a really hard time and 2.50 is a more than welcome price for a 50%-50% encounter.
WTA Budapest Semi-Finals Analysis
Anna Bondar is a decent player, but I can’t imagine any real reason, why she should be rated as favorite against Bernanda Pera at WTA Budapest. Maybe the bookies overestimate the Hungarian’s home advantage, maybe they underestimate Pera’s excellent form. Anyway, Pera is a tough player, she’s playing aggressive, and imho stands at least a 60% probability to win this one, thus backing her at 2.00 seems an excellent opportunity.
Yulia Putintseva is traditionally performing well at Budapest but this year her path was quite easy with injured Tsurenko abandoning, while her previous performances weren’t that convincing, conceding a set to below par Pigossi, while remaining overall inconsistent and typically short-tempered.
Aleksandra Krunic destroyed (6/0, 6/1) Wang Xiyu (who had cleared top seed Barbora Krejcikova in the first round) In just 6w minutes. She blasted 20 winners to only 10 unforced errors and her recent performances remind associatively, what a great talent she was considered a decade ago.
We should expect a relatively even encounter between these two clay specialists, and price 2.62 for Krunic to prevail, contains significant value.
Tennis Addict Betting Picks
ATP Nordea Open, Bastad (Sweden), Clay
🎾 Sebastian Baez to win Rublev @ 2.50
WTA Hungarian Grand Prix, Clay
🎾 Krunic to win Putintseva @ 2.62
🎾 Bernanda Pera to win Bondar @ 2.00